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George W. Bush, the Republican Party, and the “New” American Party System


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CONCLUSION: THE MODERN PRESIDNCY AND THE “NEW” PARTY SYSTEM

George Bush’s party leadership highlights a long-standing paradox growing out of the New Deal political realignment. On the one hand, Franklin D. Roosevelt and ardent New Dealers anticipated the critics of the party system of the 1940s and 1950s, who advocated a more “responsible” party system composed of national policy-oriented organizations capable of carrying out platforms or proposals presented to the people during the course of an election (APSA Committee on Political Parties 1950).22 They wanted to overcome the state and local orientation of the party system, which was suited to congressional primacy and poorly organized for progressive action on the part of the national government, and to establish a national, executive oriented party, which would be more suitably organized for the expression of national purposes. Unless such a development took place, Roosevelt argued in defending his efforts to diminish the influence of the conservative southerners who opposed the New Deal, the Democratic and Republican parties would be merely “Tweedledum and Tweedledee to each other.” The system of party responsibility, he argued, “required one of its parties be the liberal party and the other the conservative party” (Roosevelt 1938-1950: v. 7: xxviii-xxxii).

On the other hand, Roosevelt’s dominance of Democratic politics and the New Deal commitment to “enlightened administration” required presidents to stand apart from partisan conflicts. Roosevelt sought to build a more progressive form of government within a reconstituted executive office rather than through a vital connection between the president and Congress. This required extending the personal and nonpartisan presidency to the detriment of collective partisan responsibility. The New Deal emphasis on entitlements and liberal internationalism – the rhetorical and programmatic commitments to uphold “freedom from want” and “freedom from fear” exalted national administrative power into a new creed, one that demanded the transcendence rather than the transformation of partisanship.

Presidents who have envisioned a departure from the New Deal, and its offspring the Great Society, have revitalized party politics by rallying conservatives to a Republican party that proclaims to be against administration. Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush, especially, have championed traditional values and rights seemingly marginalized by the emergence of the New Deal political order (Heclo 2003). Bush has surpassed Reagan, the former actor, divorcee, and causal churchgoer, in identifying himself and his party as the chief defenders of traditional social values, “both by what he upholds (religious faith, flag-waving patriotism, marriage between a man and a woman, restrictions on abortion, the right of gun owners) and what he opposes (gay marriage, sexual permissiveness, gun control)” (Nelson 2005: 14). But he has also softened Reagan’s harsh anti-government rhetoric, acknowledging the enduring place of the modern state in American life. Whether the reform of education policy and Medicare during Bush’s first term serve conservative objectives is a matter of some dispute; there is no question, however, that these initiatives involve a major expansion of national administrative power.

In the wake of his victory in the 2004 election, Bush proposed not to cut social security benefits, as Reagan had proposed, but, rather, to “privatize” them, that is, to allow workers under age 55 to divert some of their Social Security payroll taxes into personal retirement accounts. This reform, the White House claimed, would yield a better rate of return on funds dedicated to Social Security benefits; equally important, the personal retirement accounts would recast the core New Deal entitlement as a vehicle by which individuals would assume greater responsibility to plan for their own retirement. The money in personal accounts, Bush promised, would belong to individuals, not the government. Nonetheless, the national government would still force people to save, control the investment choices they make, and regulate the rate of withdrawals (Mufson 2005).

Posing challenges to the Liberal order while embracing liberal methods of governance, Reagan, Bush, and the modern conservative movement have, in a sense, brought to completion the national party system that Roosevelt prescribed. Driven by party activists who are motivated by ideology rather than old style patronage, the Democratic and Republican parties may be as polarized as at any time since Reconstruction in the 1860s. Moreover, social and political changes – best represented by the partisan realignment in the South – might portend enduring polarization.


It may be, as A. James Reichley has written, “that a politics tied more clearly to principles and ideals is more appropriate to the current stage of our national life” (Reichley 1985, 199). But many critics lament the rise of more national and programmatic parties, arguing that this development deprives partisanship in the United States of some of the tolerance that hitherto has made party loyalty so compatible with the pluralistic traditions in American politics (Fiorina 2005). They question whether the national party machines are not too centralized, bureaucratic, and ideological to inspire strong loyalties among the American people. (McWilliams 1995, 275; see also, Cochran 2005).

Republican no less than Democrats, we have argued, have become part of the “government tier” (McWilliams 1995:275), a party of administration. Both Reagan and Bush have presided over important expansions in the modern state, and, as the abortion dispute makes clear, have championed rights that require the extension of government power.

Rather than curtail the administrative state, therefore, Republicans have engaged the Democrats in a battle for its services. This struggle, as we have noted, has been based on the proposition that the modern presidency, ideologically, is a two-edged sword that can cut in a conservative as well as a liberal direction. The continual expansion of the administrative presidency during Republican presidencies, even during the tenure of ardent partisans such as Reagan and Bush, has diminished the collective nature of the new party system. Like their Democratic predecessors who created the modern presidency, Reagan and Bush have concentrated political and policy power in the White House, preempting congressional and state party leaders in many of their limited but significant duties. It is telling that both the Bush and Kerry campaigns organized their grass roots field operations outside of the regular state and local parties. For all their differences, the Bush campaign strategists and the leaders of ACT, which assumed responsibility for the Kerry “ground war,” agreed that the state parties lacked the energy and talent to carry out a sophisticated mobilization of grass roots supporters.23

Given the domestic and international challenges posed by the twentieth and twenty-first centuries, the development of the modern presidency as the principal agent of American democracy might very well be justified. A new sense of executive responsibility was needed, one that the contemporary presidency fulfills rather admirably. As we have noted, even as many Democrats disagree with President Bush about the Iraqi War, not many of them have defended institutions or laws that would handcuff Presidents in meeting the challenges of fighting a war against the invisible, but relentless enemy of terrorism. Still, the more powerful executive office – the executive establishment – that has been built to meet the domestic and international challenges of the 20th and 21st centuries has not come without a price. The danger has been, and still is, that presidents will abuse their privilege as the embodiment of the national will (Lowi 1985, 178).

Champions of party politics have called for a new kind of party system to constrain presidential power and revitalize the connection between government and the people. Walter Dean Burnham argued in his seminal 1970 volume, Critical Elections and the Mainsprings of American Politics, that the task confronting the United States was no less than the “construction of instrumentalities of domestic sovereignty to limit individual freedom in the name of collective necessity.” This would require “an entirely new structure of parties and of mass behavior, one in which political parties would be instrumentalities of democratic collective purpose” (Burnham 1970, 188-189).

Perhaps the party polarization, rapt public attention, and increased turnout of the 2004 election suggest that the national parties have the potential to bridge the traditions of republican government in the United States and the exigencies of national administrative power. The 2002 and 2004 elections gave dramatic testimony of how the relationship between the modern president and the party can be mutually beneficial. Just as Bush played a critical part in drawing campaign funds and loyalists to his party, so did he benefit from the steadfast backing of his party members in Congress and party loyalists in the electorate. Although Bush’s popularity has declined considerably in his second term, the unfailing support of congressional Republicans and conservative activists has enabled the White House to push important legislation through Congress, make appointments to the federal judiciary that have strengthened conservative control over court rulings, and “stay the course” in Iraq in the face of growing criticism of the war (Vanderhei 2005; Vanderhei and Babington 2005).

Bush’s presidency, especially, shows how an unstinting partisan in the modern executive office makes possible a blending of partisanship and administration, one in which administration has become a vehicle for partisan objectives (Vanderhei 2005). At this point, however, the prospects for “a new party system” that ties the executive to collective purposes are very uncertain. The establishment of the president as the “steward of the public welfare” has put a premium on candidate-centered campaigns and organization. More important, given the nature of the modern executive office, it summons individuals whose ambition is best served by acting outside of party politics. Presidents can be strong, indeed, best display their personal qualities, “above party,” McWilliams has written (McWilliams 1989, 35). The rise of the modern presidency thus encourages each occupant of the White House to exploit the full splendor of the executive office at the expense of public debate and resolution that best take place in Congress and the state legislatures. The War on Terrorism, the defining issue in the 2004 campaign, seems less an episode of collective responsibility than new confirmation of Madison’s warning that “War is the true nurse of executive aggrandizement” (Hunt 1906, vol. 4, 174).

The relationship between the president and “new” party system invites us to consider a dilemma as old as the Republic. How can a state that is expansive and powerful enough to protect our rights provide for an active and competent citizenry? In the nineteenth century, Americans sought answers to this dilemma in a natural rights version of liberalism that celebrated localism. Traditional party organizations and newspapers rectified the Constitution’s insufficient attention to civic matters. By the same token, the modern executive establishment, born of New Deal “programmatic liberalism” and embellished by its enemies, has fostered a more active and better equipped state, but one without adequate means of common deliberation and public judgment, without the means to sustain the vitality of its civic culture. This is the modern dilemma of America’s “extended republic” – this is the central challenge for American democracy at the dawn of a new century.



END NOTES


1 In 1969 the DNC, acting under a mandate from the 1968 Chicago Convention, established the Commission on Party Structure and Delegate Selection. Under the chairmanship first of Sen. George McGovern and, after 1971, of Rep. Donald Fraser, the commission developed guidelines for the state parties' selection of delegates to the national conventions. Their purpose was to weaken the prevailing party structure and to establish a more direct link between presidential candidates and the voters. The DNC accepted all the commission's guidelines and declared in the call for the 1972 convention that they constituted the standards that state Democratic parties, in qualifying and certifying delegates to the 1972 Democratic National Convention, must make "all efforts to comply with." The new rules eventually caused a majority of states to change from selecting delegates in closed councils of party regulars to electing them in direct primaries. Although the Democrats initiated these changes, many were codified in state laws that affected the Republican Party almost as much. For a discussion of the long-term forces underlying the McGovern-Fraser reforms, see Truman (1985)

2 “Soft” money is an imprecise but commonly used term. In general it refers to funds that are regulated by state campaign statutes. “Hard” money, in contrast, is regulated by the Federal Election Campaign Act (FECA),

first enacted in 1971. Shortly after the enactment of FECA, the Federal Election

Commission (FEC) recognized that the constitutional system of federalism required that parties be free to

raise and spend nonfederal money on state and local elections. The FEC established “allocation



regulations” to govern such “mixed” federal-state activities as full-ticket voter mobilization. Campaign finance regulations thus made state parties important organizations within the nationalized party structure. This subordinate but critical position may have been jeopardized by the enactment in 2002 of the Bipartisan Campaign Finance Reform Act (BCRA). In addition to prohibiting the national parties’ use of nonfederal funds, BCRA also expanded the meaning of “federal election activity,” so that the campaign finance practices of state and local parties came under much closer scrutiny. For example, it includes all voter registration conducted within 120 days of a federal election, whether or not any registration activity refers to a federal candidate. On campaign finance reforms and their effect on party development, see La Raja and Milkis (2004).

3 Party voting (recorded votes in which a majority of Democrats vote against a majority of Republicans) jumped from an average of 36 percent between 1967 and 1982 to an average of 50 percent in the 1980s, and climbed to an average of 58 percent during the 1990s (Sinclair 2002a:211). Party unity scores, which measure the frequency with which the average member votes with his party on party votes, trace roughly the same pattern. In the 1990s, the Republicans averaged 88 percent; Democrats 86 percent (Sinclair 2002a: 211; see also Pomper 2003).

4 Some scholars, such as Michael McDonald, argue that using the voting-age population as the denominator in the calculation of turnout rates is misleading, because it includes persons who are ineligible to vote (such as non-citizens and felons) and excludes overseas voters. When the “voting-eligible” population is used to calculate turnout rates, turnout appears somewhat higher. However, even with this correction, there is still an appreciable decline in voter turnout after 1968, and voter turnout hovers at around 55% from 1968-2000 (excluding the 1992 election, in which turnout was stimulated by the Perot third-party candidacy). For McDonald’s analysis, see “Voter Turnout”: http://elections.gmu.edu/voter_turnout.htm.

5 Trust in government fluctuated considerably during the last four decades of the twentieth century, but the secular trend clearly revealed the public’s declining confidence in the federal government. Between 1964, when the public’s enthusiasm for the national state forged on the New Deal peaked, to 2000, the percentage of Americans who said they trusted the government to do what is right "just about always" or "most of the time" declined from 78% to 44% “Trust in Government,” Gallup Poll,www.gallup.com/poll/topics.

6 There is a real sense in which the Democrats and Republicans have become parties of administration – intent on the use of national administrative power to further the intractable demands of policy activists. Indeed, in the aftermath of the New Deal, partisan disputes about rights have become increasingly associated with the expansion of national administrative power (even conservatives in the abortion dispute demand government intervention to protect the rights of the unborn). The expansion of rights (the attempt to graft programmatic right onto individual liberties) has further shifted partisan politics away from parties as associations that organize political sentiments in an electoral majority.

7 The weak partisan attachments of the electorate were exposed by the 1992 presidential campaign of H. Ross Perot, whose 19% of the popular vote was the most significant challenge to the two-party system since Theodore Roosevelt’s Progressive Party campaign of 1912. Perot’s campaign, dominated by thiry-minite “infomercials” and hour-long appearances on talk shows, set a new standard for direct plebiscitary appeals that threatened to sound the death knell of the party campaign.” Bill Clinton was a master at exploiting the American people’s disdain for partisanship. Indeed, his “third way” politics made Perot-style plebiscitary politics respectable. See Milkis 2001.

8 As one account has it, “in 1983 and 1984 during his own reelection effort, Reagan made more than two dozen campaign and fundraising appearances for all branches of the party organization and candidates at every level…[and] During the pitched and ultimately losing battle to retain control of the Senate for the Republicans in 1986, Reagan played the good soldier, visiting twenty-two key states repeatedly and raising $33 million for the party and its candidates” (Sabato 1988).

9 The Reagan White House mounted a legislative campaign in 1981 that rivaled the early breakthroughs of the New Freedom, the New Deal, and the Great Society. Matching effective rhetoric with skill as a legislative leader, Reagan persuaded Congress to approve a dramatic departure in fiscal policy: more than $35 billion in domestic program reductions, a multiyear package of nearly $750 billion in tax cuts, and a three-year, 27 percent increase in defense spending.

10 “Party Identification 3-Point Scale 1952-2002,”The NES Guide to Public Opinion and Electoral Behavior: http://www.umich.edu/~nes/nesguide/toptable/tab2a_2.htm; “Party Identification 7-Point Scale 1952-2002,” The NES Guide to Public Opinion and Electoral Behavior: http://www.umich.edu/~nes/nesguide/toptable/tab2a_1.htm.

11 This was especially true of the Reagan administration’s goal of curtailing costly environmental regulations and deploying more federal responsibility for environmental protection to the states. Controversial figures like James Watt, Reagan’s choice to head the Department of Interior, and Gorsuch aroused support in Congress and the public for environmental causes and the advocacy groups that championed them. As the environmental historian, Jeffrey Stine has written, “One irony of the Reagan administration was the unparalleled boon it provided to the nation’s environmental and conservation organizations, revitalizing their missions and increasing their memberships and financial contributions.” So strong was the reaction against the Reagan administration’s effort to roll back environmental protection by executive fiat that one journalist claimed the 1980s marked a “watershed for environmentalism in the United States”: “for the first time, the environment as an issue emerged, if only temporarily, as a dominant feature on the nation’s political landscape. It was an issue that captured and held the public’s attention for weeks and preoccupied the Government at the highest levels.” The irony of the Reagan legacy for environmental policy was confirmed during the 1988 presidential campaign, when Vice President George H. W. Bush declared that he wanted to become the nation’s “environmental president.” (Stine 2003: 244, 251; Shabecoff 1983). For a comprehensive study of the Reagan administration regulatory relief program, see Harris and Milkis 1996.

12 Many, if not most, of the Republican senators and representatives who signed the minority report of the congressional committee that investigated the Iran-contra affair supported Reagan’s efforts to aid the contras, affirming that “Our only regret is that the administration was not open enough with Congress about what it was doing.” Reagan’s long term efforts to build support for his policies would have been enhanced, they argued, if he had confronted Congress directly by vetoing the Boland Amendment, which proscribed contra aid, and taking his case to the American people (Report of the Congressional Committees Investigating the Iran-Contra Affair 1987: 515).

13 For example, the White House, with the help of Vice President Cheney, urged Minnesota House Majority Leader Tim Pawlenty to abandon a Senate bid so that the centrist Coleman, the former mayor of St. Paul, could have a clear path to a contest against the ardent liberal, Democratic Senator Paul Wellstone (Jalonick 2002). This strategy of emphasizing electoral success over ideological purity extended even to the South and border states. Bush recruited the prominent moderate Republican Dole, who was avowedly pro-choice, to run for Senator against the conservative former North Carolina Senator Lauch Faircloth. Similarly, Bush urged Lamar Alexander, the moderate secretary of Education in his father’s administration, to run for the Senate against conservative House Impeachment manager, Ed Bryant. The White House’s tactics sometimes irritated local party officials and conservative activists, and, on occasion, the president’s intervention backfired. Despite, and perhaps partly because of the White House’s endorsement, former Los Angeles Mayor Richard Riordan lost the California gubernatorial primary to conservative financier Bill Simon. Nonetheless, on the whole, the Bush administration’s efforts to recruit strong Republican challengers proved effective, in no small part due to the White House’s full bore effort to get the anointed elected (personal interview with Stephen Moore, July 21, 2004; Carney and Dickerson 2002). The conflict between the White House and Moore came to head in 2004. The White House supported incumbent Senator Arlen Specter in the Republican primary against his conservative challenger, Representative Pat Toomey, who was backed by the Club for Growth. Not only did Bush and his political advisors believe that Specter had a better chance to win, but they also resented Toomey’s opposition to their prescription drug program, a key part of their plan to put a conservative imprimatur on entitlement programs (Personal interview with Steven Moore, July 21 2004). With the White House’s blessing and support, Specter won a very close primary contest.

14 As Herrnson and Morris n.d. find : “Over 40 percent of all Republican candidates in competitive races received a presidential visit, and nearly 70% of all visits were made to competitive districts (which made up less than 15% of all districts).”

15 Similarly, “a pre-election Gallup poll indicated that 53 percent [of voters] would use their vote to send a message to George Bush, and his supporters outnumbered his opponents by a 2-1 margin” (Busch 2005:52).


16 Garance Franke-Ruta and Harold Meyerson, “The GOP Deploys: Campaign events masquerading as “official” visits. A massive army on the ground. And- wouldn’t you know it – a secret headquarters. Welcome to Bush-Cheney 2004.” The American Prospect (February 1, 2004). As Franke-Ruta and Meyerson report, “[The 72-Hour Task Force] tried more than 50 different organizing methods, doing trial runs in the state elections of 2001. They learned that knocking on doors, instead of merely leaving flyers, could be worth 2 to 3 percentage points in a tight election. In another RNC experiment, four volunteers were pitted against a professional telemarketing firm, each with an identical script and separate lists of voter names. The four volunteers got almost 5 percent more people to the polls than the pros.”


17 Dowd insisted that a centralized grass roots campaign was not an oxymoron. The “ground war” was built with community volunteers, but “once they volunteered, we ask them to do certain things. A national organization has to have a consistent message and mechanics. If the message is not consistent, if tasks are not systematically assigned, the campaign will implode. This was the message of the [failed Howard] Dean campaign: letting people loose can get the candidate in trouble. The message and organization must be relatively disciplined.” The centralized grass roots campaign was not without spontaneity, however. “The campaign headquarters gave people tasks, but Bush-Cheney staff and volunteers on the ground had some flexibility in determining how to carry out those tasks. It was local volunteers, for example, who learned that model homes in subdivisions was a good place to register new voters.” (Personal interview with Matthew Dowd, July 26,2004)

18 The tendency of the Democratic party to rely on auxiliary organizations such as labor unions was accentuated by the enactment of the Bipartisan Campaign Finance Reform Act, which proscribed party organizations, but not independent issue groups, from raising and spending “soft” money. The “527 groups,” named for a section of the tax code that regulated them, were formed outside of the regular party organization, in part, to circumvent campaign finance regulations. No less important, however, was the view of some leaders of the 527 organizations that the Democratic National Committee and state parties were not capable of mobilizing the base support of liberal causes (Personal interview with ACT official, not for attribution, August 19, 2005). These groups formed an alliance to build an impressive media and ground campaign to match the efforts of the Republican Party. The task, as Simon Rosenberg, president of the New Democratic Network, framed it, was to build a progressive “information-age political machine” to counter the conservative movement’s partisan infrastructure ( Personal interview, August 9, 2004; see also Matt Bai, “Wiring the Left Wing Conspiracy,” New York Times Magazine, July 25, 2004). In the end, however, as Rosenberg acknowledged after the election, the Democratic effort was too fragmented to compete effectively with the Republican machine (Rosenberg interview, July 22, 2005).

19 According to Gallup polls, Bush won the election and maintained control of Congress, even though Democrats made modest partisan gains in 2004. Gallup national polling during 2004 showed the following party support: Republicans 34%, Democrats 34%, Independents 31%; if “party leaners” among independents are allocated, the results slightly favor Democrats: Republican 45%, Democrats, 48%. That Bush tended to do better than would have been expected on the basis of partisan loyalties is likely attributable to the Republicans’ more effective grass roots campaign, Bush’s incumbency advantage during wartime, and the tendency of many southerners to vote Republican, even as they continue to express loyalty to the Democratic party (Jones 2005).

20 Rove interview. The first President Bush’s top political strategist, Lee Atwater, had worked at the Republican National Committee rather than at the White House, helping to sustain for a time the status and independence of the national party organization. Rove believed that Atwater, his friend for twenty years, had made a mistake in going to the RNC. Political power fell into the hands of White House Chief of Staff John Sununu. A leading conservative in Washington who worked in the Bush administration, claims that he strongly urged Rove to work at the White House, not the RNC, “where organizational frustrations were rampant.” Interview with conservative journalist, not for attribution, November 13, 2001.

21 David Nather and Jill Barshay, “Hill Warning: Respect Level from White House Too Low,” CQ Weekly, March 9, 2002.

22 An influential member of the committee, E.E. Schattschneider, considered Roosevelt’s attempt to reform the Democratic party “one of the greatest experimental tests of the nature of the American party system ever made” (Schattschneider 1942: 163-169).

23 These views were expressed, albeit off the record, by campaign officials we interviewed during the Summer of 2005.
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