METR on Labor
For this study, we assume that only payroll taxes paid by employers are effective labor taxes borne by employers. Another assumption is that the marginal unit of labor input is an average worker. Therefore, the METR on labor is the total payroll taxes paid by employers on average labor costs. Since the payroll taxes in Uganda and Tanzania are imposed on total payrolls, the statutory tax rate itself can be seen as the effective tax rate on labor. In the case of Kenya, the ceiling of taxable payroll is K Sh 80 per month, which is well below the monthly payroll. As a result, the METR on labor in Kenya is estimated as low as 0.1 percent. According to 1997 ILO Yearbook of Labour Statistics, the average monthly payroll in Kenya was K Sh 3,324 for manufacturing industry and tourism (1991 figure).
METR on Other Inputs
The METR on other inputs for production is the transaction taxes firms have to pay on these inputs. In our study, motor fuel is the only other input included apart from capital and labor. The average transaction tax rate, i.e., the fuel tax rate is used as the METR.
METR on Cost of Production
By using the augmented Cobb-Douglas production function, the METR on cost of production T can be estimated as:
T = P (1+ti) 1 (9)
In the formula, i indicates an input, i.e., capital, labor, and fuel, ti = the METR on each input i, and ai = share of total cost for input i. The detailed derivation may be found in McKenzie, Mintz, and Scharf (1992).
APPENDIX B: DATA SOURCES
The formal tax parameters for Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda are obtained from their income tax laws and related official documents (e.g., the 1991 Foreign Investment Code in the case of pre-1997 tax holiday regime for Uganda).
Apart from the formal rates that are directly used for the METR calculation (e.g., corporate income tax and property tax rate), there are mainly two types of tax parameters that require derivation. The first is the combined tax depreciation rate for machinery by industry. It is estimated as a weighted average of tax allowances by class for each industry based on the actual URA data on large firms. The second is the combined fuel tax rate for each country. In Uganda, the ad valorem rate on the “total CIF destination warehouse cost”, including all handling charges, ranges from 100 percent to over 200 percent for paraffin, diesel and petroleum products, respectively. A weighted-average rate was estimated as 174 percent based on the data, provided by the URA on fuel sales by product in 1997. For Kenya and Tanzania, the fuel tax rate by product was estimated based on the tax and the price per liter, while Uganda’s shares of various products in total sales were used as weights to estimate the combined fuel tax rate.
B. NON-TAX PARAMETERS
The expected inflation rates and interest rates are obtained from the IMF and the World Bank. The expected inflation rate is based on the consumer price index, while the interest rate is the bank lending rate in each country.
The debt-to-assets ratio is estimated based on the 1998 World Bank-Private Sector Foundation of Uganda firm survey data for large and medium-sized firms (over 20 employees).
The economic depreciation rates for buildings and machinery by industry are adopted from the International Centre Tax Studies (University of Toronto) METR model for small-sized firms in Canada. Considering the differences between Uganda’s economy and the Canadian one, we assume that the average capital investment size for Uganda’s large- and medium-sized firms is equivalent to that for small Canadian firms.
The capital structure by industry shown in Table 2 is estimated based on financial statistics by industry provided by the URA. As buildings and land are grouped into a single category in the URA data, this category was disaggregated based on the Canadian proportional relationship between buildings and land by industry.
The cost structure by industry is estimated based on Uganda’s 1992 input-output table (IO table), the latest one available. The capital input within an industry is estimated as the given industry’s total inputs of building materials, machinery and metal products, and operating surplus. The labor input is estimated as the wages and salaries. The fuel input is estimated based on the total fuel imports in 1992 and the transportation share by industry based on the 1992 IO table.37 Then the three inputs are summed up as the total cost of production, which is used to arrive at the input share of capital, labor and fuel.
C. THE 1998 FIRM SURVEY
A private enterprise survey for Uganda was carried out between February and July 1998 jointly by the World Bank and the Ugandan Private Sector Foundation. The survey design benefited from the Regional Program for Enterprise Development (RPED) model, particularly the Ghana and Zimbabwe surveys, but it is more limited in scope, focusing mostly on physical investment, exports, infrastructure services, taxation, policy credibility, regulation, and corruption. However, the survey in Uganda covered a wider range of industrial sectors than the RPED. Apart from manufacturing (which was divided into agro-processing and other manufacturing), the survey included firms from tourism, commercial agriculture and construction as these sectors are expected to have substantial growth potential. Data were collected for the period of 1995-97. Given that the survey required confidential information, such as the firm's costs, sales and tax payments, interviews were carried out by the Uganda Manufactures Association to obtain maximum cooperation of the firms. Special emphasis was laid on enumerator training and the questionnaire was carefully piloted beforehand. In addition to quantitative data, the survey also collected information on firms’ perceptions on various constraints to investment. The latter component was modeled on a similar survey carried out in 1994 by the World Bank, allowing an examination of dynamics of the business environment and constraints, as perceived by the private sector.
The latest complete industrial census in Uganda dates back to 1989. An updated industrial census was carried out in 1996 but it includes only eight (out of 45) districts. Despite its limited geographical coverage, the districts included in the 1996 update actually represent 80 percent of value-added in the private industrial sector and 70 percent of employment, based on the 1989 census. It was thus decided to base the sampling frame of the survey on the 1996 update instead of the complete but much older census, particularly as the number of new enterprises has increased dramatically in the past decade. Based on the 1996 update, 37 percent of the firms active today started up since 1990. Although the district of Mbarara was not included in the census update, it was added to the survey, given its importance as a regional business center today.
As mentioned above, the firm survey was confined to five sectors—commercial agriculture (includes fishing), agro-processing, other manufacturing, construction and tourism. Table 19 shows the distribution of establishments and employment by firm size and sector in the 1996 updated industrial census. Firm size is defined by employment. Neither the update nor the 1989 census includes firms with less than five employees, so the initial size breakdown was small (5-20 employees), medium (21-100 employees), large (101-500 employees) and very large (over 500 employees). Subsequently, large and very large firms were treated as one group. The five sectors selected for the survey comprise 52 percent of all enterprises included in the census update and almost 80 percent of employment.
Table 20 shows the distribution of establishments and employment within the five selected industrial sectors by firm size and sector. The within-sector distribution of employment shows large variations across sectors. Most of the employment within commercial agriculture and construction is concentrated in two to three very large firms, while most of the employment in tourism is in the small firms. Employment in agro-processing and other manufacturing is relatively evenly distributed across firm size.
We constructed a stratified random sample for the survey. The following criteria were taken into account:
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The sample should be reasonably representative of the population of establishments in the specified five industrial categories.
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The establishments surveyed should account for a substantial share of national output in each of the industrial categories.
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The sample should be sufficiently diverse in terms of firm size.
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There should be enough representation outside Kampala to draw conclusions about industrial activity in Uganda as a whole.
The final sample consisted of 243 surveyed firms and was similar with respect to size and regional distribution to the stratified sample constructed initially [see World Bank (1998)]. The characteristics of the sampled firms are set out in Table 21 by firm size, sector, location and ownership. Over 80 percent of large firms, about 30 percent of medium-sized firms and about 10 percent of small firms in the five sectors were included. Five different geographical areas were covered: Kampala, Jinja/Iganga, Mbale/Tororo, Mukono, and Mbarara. The first four make up 98 percent of total employment in the five selected sectors reported in the 1996 census update. In terms of ownershipwhich was not a criteria for sample selection70 percent of firms were Ugandan owned, 16 percent foreign owned and 14 percent in joint ownership.
The survey typically consisted of at least two visits to each firm by one or two enumerators. While the manager's perceptions were relatively easy to obtain during a single interview, quantitative data on costs, sales and taxation which were collected for three years, usually required another visit to consult the accountant. During the course of the survey it was found that a number of firms had changed business activity since 1996, for example, by shifting to trading instead of manufacturing. Similarly, a number of firms were difficult to locate, which indicates that either they had exited since 1996, moved to another address, or that the 1996 industrial census update may have contained firms from the 1989 census which had exited before 1996. A few firms refused to participate in the survey. For all these reasons, 39 percent of the firms in the final sample were randomly chosen alternates to the initially drawn random sample.
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