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PUBLICATIONS Peer-Reviewed Journal Papers

  • Liu Z., D. Guan*, W. Wei, S. J. Davis, P. Ciais, J. Bai, S. Peng, Q. Zhang, K. Hubacek, G. Marland, R. J. Andres, D. Crawford-Brown, J. Lin, H. Zhao, C. Hong, T. A. Boden, K. Feng, G. P. Peters, F. Xi, J. Liu, Y. Li, Y. Zhao, N. Zeng and K. He (2015) “Reduced carbon emission estimates from fossil fuel combustion and cement production in China” Nature [IF: 41.456], Volume 524, Page 335-338 (doi: 10.1038/nature14677)

  • Liu, Z., S.J. Davis, K. Feng, K. Hubacek, S. Liang, L. D. Anadon, B. Chen, J. Liu, J. Yan and D. Guan* (2015) “Targeted opportunities to address the climate-trade dilemma in China”. Nature Climate Change [IF:14.547], forthcoming (doi:10.1038/nclimate2800).

  • Liu, Z., D. Guan*, S. Moore, H. Lee, J. Su and Q. Zhang (2015) “Steps to China’s carbon peak” Nature [IF: 41.456], Volume 522, Page 279-281 (doi:10.1038/522279a)

  • Liu J., D. Zhao, P.W. Gerbens-Leenes, D. Guan. (2015) “China’s rising hydropower demand challenges water sector”. Scientific Reports. [IF:5.053] Volume 5, Article number: 11446 (doi:10.1038/srep11446).

  • Zhao, X., J. Liu, Q. Liu, M. R. Tillotson, D. Guan, K. Hubacek (2015) “Physical and virtual water transfers for regional water stress alleviation in China” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS) [IF: 9.674], Volume 112, Issue 4, Page 1031-1035 (doi:10.1073/pnas.1404130112)

  • Jiang X, D. Guan, J. Zhang, K. Zhu, C. Green (2015). Firm ownership, China's export related emissions, and the responsibility issue. Energy Economics [IF: 2.708] Volume 51, Page 466-74 (doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2015.08.014)

  • Zhao H. Y., Q. Zhang, D. Guan, S. J. Davis, Z. Liu, H. Huo, J. Lin, W. Liu and K. He (2015) “Assessment of China's virtual air pollution transport embodied in trade by a consumption-based emission inventory” Atmospheric Physics and Chemistry [IF:5.053] Volume 15, page 5443-5456 (doi:10.5194/acpd-14-25617-2014)

  • Jiang X., Q. Zhang, H. Zhao, G. Geng, L. Peng, D. Guan, H. Kan, H. Huo, J. Lin, M. Brauer, R. V. Martin, K. He (2015) “Revealing the hidden health costs embodied in Chinese exports” Environmental Science & Technology [IF: 5.330] Volume 49, Issue 7, Page 4381–4388 (doi: 10.1021/es506121s)

  • Orlins S. and D. Guan* (2015) “China's toxic informal e-waste recycling: local approaches to a global environmental problem” Journal of Cleaner Production [IF: 3.844] forthcoming (doi: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2015.05.090)

  • Shan, Y., Z. Liu and D. Guan (2015) “CO2 Emissions from China’s Lime Industry” Applied Energy [IF:5.613] forthcoming (doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.04.091)

  • Liu, Z., K. Feng, K. Hubacek, S. Liang, L. Diaz Anadon, C. Zhang, and D. Guan (2015) “Four system boundaries for carbon accounts” Ecological Modelling [IF:2.321] forthcoming (doi: doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2015.02.001)

  • Liu, W., X. Li, H. Liu, Z. Tang, and D. Guan (2015) “Estimating inter-regional trade flows in China: A sector-specific statistical model” Journal of Geographical Sciences [IF: 1.344] Volume 25, Issue 10, Page 1247-1263 (doi: 10.1007/s11442-015-1231-6)

  • Zheng, B., Q. Zhang, J. Borken-Kleefeld, H. Huo, D. Guan, Z. Klimont, G. P. Peters, and K. He (2015) “How will greenhouse gas emissions from on-road vehicles be constrained in China around 2030” Applied Energy [IF:5.613] Volume 156, Page 230-240 (doi: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.07.018).

  • Guan, D*., S. Klasen, K. Hubacek, K. Feng, Z. Liu, K. He, Y. Geng and Q. Zhang (2014) “Determinants of Stagnating Carbon Intensity in China” Nature Climate Change [IF:14.547] Volume 4, Issue 11, Page 1017–1023 (doi: 10.1038/NCLIMATE2388)

  • Guan D*., K. Hubacek; H. Zhao, W. Liu; Z. Liu; S. Liang, M. Tillotson (2014) “Lifting China’s Water Spell” Environmental Science & Technology [IF: 5.330] Volume 48, Issue 19, Page 11048–11056 (doi: 10.1021/es501379n)

  • Huo, H., Q. Zhang, D. Guan, X. Su, K. He (2014) “Examining air pollution in China using production- and consumption-based emissions accounting approaches” Environmental Science & Technology [IF: 5.330] Volume 48, Issue 24, Page 14139–14147 (doi: 10.1021/es503959t).

  • Lindner, S. and D. Guan (2014) “A hybrid-unit energy input-output model to evaluate embodied energy and life cycle emissions for China’s Economy” Journal of Industrial Ecology [IF:3.227] Volume 18, Issue 2, Page 201-211 (doi: 10.1111/jiec.12119)

  • Lin J., D. Pan, S. J. Davis, Q. Zhang, K. He, C. Wang, D. Streets, D. J. Wuebbles and D. Guan (2014) “China’s international trade and air pollution in the United States” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS) [IF: 9.674], Volume 111, Issue 5, Page 1736-1741 (doi:10.1073/pnas.1312860111) The paper has received extensive international attentions and been reported by mainstream media such as Wall Street Journals, CNN, Guardians and Washington Post (see section on “In the press”). The paper was awarded for the PNAS Cozzarelli Prize 2014.

  • Guan, D., X. Su, Q. Zhang, G. P. Peters, Z. Liu, Y. Lei and K. He (2014) “The Socioeconomic drivers of China’s primary PM2.5 emissions” Environmental Research Letters [IF: 3.906], Volume 9, 024010 (doi:10.1088/1748-9326/9/2/024010)

  • Dietzenbacher, E., M. Lenzen, B. Los, D. Guan, M. L. Lahr, F. Sanchoe, S. Suh and C. Yang (2013) “Input-Output Analysis: The Next 25 Years” Economic Systems Research [IF: 3.605] Volume 25, Issue 4, Page 369-389 (doi:10.1080/09535314.2013.846902)

  • Liu Z., D. Guan*, D. Crawford-Brown, Q. Zhang, K. He and J. Liu (2013) “Energy Policy: A low-carbon roadmap for China” Nature [IF: 41.456], Volume 500, Page 143 – 145 (doi:10.1038/500143a).

  • Feng K., S. J. Davis, X. Li, , L. Sun, D. Guan W. Liu, L. Zhu and K. Hubacek (2013) “Outsourcing CO2 within China” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS) [IF: 9.674] Volume 110, Issue 28, Page 11654–11659 (doi: 10.1073/pnas.1219918110) The paper has received extensive international attentions and been reported by mainstream media such as BBC, Guardians and Washington Post (see section on “In the press”).

  • Meng B., J. Xue, K. Feng, D. Guan and X. Fu (2013) “China’s inter-regional spillover of carbon emissions and domestic supply chains” Energy Policy [IF:2.575] Volume 61, Page 1305-1321 (doi: dx.doi.org/10.1016/ j.enpol.2013.05.108)

  • Lindner, S., L. Zhu, D. Guan, G. Yong, and X. Li (2013) “CO2 Emissions from China’s Power Sector at the province level: Consumption versus Production Perspectives” Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews [IF:5.901] Volume 19, Page 164-172 (doi: dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2012.10.050)

  • Lindner, S., J. Legault and D. Guan* (2013) Disaggregating the electricity sector of china's input-output table for improved environmental life-cycle assessment” Economic Systems Research [IF: 3.605]. Volume 25, Issue 3, Page 300-320 (doi: 10.1080/09535314.2012.746646). This paper has been award the Leontief Prize 2012 by International Input-Output Association.

  • Steen-Olsen K., A. Owen, J. Barrett, D. Guan, E. Hertwich, M. Lenzen, T. Wiedmann (under review) “Intercomparison of global multiregional input-output databases” Economic Systems Research [IF: 3.905]

  • Li J., D. Crawford-Brown, M. Syddall and D. Guan (2013) “Modelling Imbalanced Economic Recovery Following a Natural Disaster Using Input-Output Analysis” Risk Analysis [IF: 1.974], Volume 33, Issue 10, Page 1908–1923 (doi: 10.1111/risa.12040)

  • Crawford-Brown D., M. Syddall1, D. Guan, J. Hall, J. Li, K. Jenkins and R. Beaven (2013) “Vulnerability of London’s Economy to Climate Change: Sensitivity to Production Loss” Journal of Environmental Protection Volume 4, Page 548-563 (doi: 10.4236/jep.2013.46064)

  • Jiang Y., F. K. S. Chan, J. Holden, Y. Zhao and D. Guan (2013) “China’s water management – challenges and solutions” Environmental Engineering and Management Journal [IF: 1.258]. Volume 12, Issue 7, Page 1311-1321

  • Jacques, D. A., D. Guan, Y. Geng, B. Xue, and X. Wang (2013) “Inter-provincial clean development mechanism in China: A case study of the solar PV sector” Energy Policy [IF:2.575] Volume 57, Page 454-461 (doi: 10.1016/j.enpol.2013.02.019)

  • Guan D*. and T. S. Barker (2012) “Low Carbon Development in the least developed region: A case study of Guangyuan, Sichuan province, southwest China” Natural Hazards [IF: 1.719], Volume 62, Issue 2, Page 243-254 (doi: 10.1007/s11069-011-9993-3)

  • Guan D., Z. Liu, Y. Geng, S. Lindner and K. Hubacek (2012) “The gigatonne gap in China’s carbon dioxide inventories” Nature Climate Change [IF:14.547], Volume 2, Page 672–675 (doi:10.1038/nclimate1560). The paper has received extensive international attentions and been reported by 40+ media in different languages (see section on “In the press”).

  • Liu Z., Y. Geng S. Lindner, H. Zho, T. Fujita and D. Guan (2012) “Embodied Energy Use in China’s Industrial Sectors” Energy Policy [IF:2.575] Volume 49, Page 751-758 (doi:dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2012.07.016)

  • Feng K., K. Hubacek, Y. Siu, and D. Guan (2012) “Assessing Regional Virtual Water Flows and Water Footprints in the Yellow River Basin, China: a consumption based approach”. Applied Geography [IF: 2.494]， Volume 32, Issue 2, Page 691-701 (doi:10.1016/j.apgeog.2011.08.004)

  • Liu, Z., Y. Geng, S. Lindner, and D. Guan (2012) “Uncovering China’s greenhouse gas emission from regional and sectoral perspectives” Energy [IF:4.844] Volume 49, Issue 1, Page 1059-1068 (doi: 10.1016/j.energy.2012.06.007)

  • Lindner, S., J. Legault and D. Guan* (2012) “Disaggregating input-output models with incomplete information” Economic Systems Research [IF: 3.605] Volume 24, Issue 4, Page 329-347 (doi:10.1080/09535314.2012. 689954)

  • Chong W.H.B., D. Guan* and P. Guthrie (2012) “Comparative Analysis of Carbonization Drivers in China’s Mega-Cities” Journal of Industrial Ecology [IF:3.227] Volume 16, Issue 4, Page 564-575 (doi: 10.1111/j.1530-9290.2012.00519.x)

  • Feng K., K. Hubacek, Y. Siu, and D. Guan (2012) “'Analyzing Drivers of Regional Carbon Dioxide Emissions for China” Journal of Industrial Ecology [IF:3.227] Volume 16, Issue 4, Page 600-611 (doi: 10.1111/j.1530-9290.2012.00494.x)

  • Skelton A., D. Guan*, G. P. Peters and D. Crawford-Brown (2011) “Mapping flows of embodied emissions in the global production system” Environmental Science & Technology [IF: 5.330] Volume 45, Issue 24, Page 10516-10523 (doi: 10.1021/es202313e)

  • Minx J. C., G. Baiocchi, G. P. Peters, C. L. Weber, D. Guan and K. Hubacek (2011). A Carbonizing Dragon: China’s fast growing CO2 emissions revisited. Environmental Science & Technology [IF: 5.330] Volume 45, Issue 21, Page 9144–9153 (doi: 10.1021/es201497m)

  • Chen Q., C. Kang, Q. Xia, D. Guan (2011) “Primary Exploration on Low-Carbon Technology Roadmap of China's Power Sector”. Energy [IF:4.844] Volume 36, Issue 3, Page 1500-12 (doi:10.1016/j.energy.2011.01.015)

  • Feng, K., K. Hubacek, Y. L. Siu, J. Minx, A. Chapagain, Y. Yu, D. Guan and J. Barrett (2011) “Spatially Explicit Analysis of Water Footprints in the UK” Water [IF:1.428], Volume 3, Page 47-63 (doi:10.3390/w3010047)

  • Feng, K., K. Hubacek, D. Guan, M. Contestabile, J. Minx and J. Barrett (2010) “Distributional Effects of Climate Change Taxation: The case of the UK” Environmental Science & Technology [IF: 5.330], Volume 44, Issue 10, Page 3670-3676 (doi: 10.1021/es902974g)

  • Yu, Y., Hubacek, K. Feng and D. Guan (2010) “Assessing Regional Water Footprints for the UK” Ecological Economics [IF: 2.720], Volume 69, Page 1140-1147 (doi: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2009.12.008)

  • Wiedmann. T., R. Wood, J. Minx, M. Lenzen, D. Guan and R. Harris (2010) “A Climate Footprint Time Series of the UK – Results from a Multi-Region Input-Output Model” Economic Systems Research [IF: 3.605] Volume 22, Issue 1 Page 19-42 (doi: 10.1080/09535311003612591)

  • Guan D*., G. Peters, C. Weber, and K. Hubacek (2009) “Journey to world top emitter – an analysis of the driving forces of China’s recent emissions surge”. Geophysical Research Letters [IF: 4.196] Volume 36, L04709 (doi: 10.1029/2008GL036540).

  • Feng K., K. Hubacek and D. Guan (2009) “Lifestyles, technology and CO2 emissions in China: a regional comparative analysis” Ecological Economics [IF: 2.720], Volume 69, Page 145-154 (doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2009.08.007)

  • Minx. J., T. Wiedmann, R. Wood, G. Peter, M. Lenzen, A. Owen, K. Scott, J. Barrett, K. Hubacek, G. Baiocchi, A. Paul, E. Dawkins, J. Briggs, D. Guan, S. Suh and F. Ackermann (2009) “Input-Output Analysis and Carbon Footprinting: An overview of applications” Economic Systems Research [IF: 3.605] Volume 21, Issue 3, Page 187-216 (doi: 10.1080/09535310903541298)

  • Hubacek K., D. Guan, J. Barrett and T. Wiedmann (2009) “Environmental implications of urbanisation and lifestyle change in China: Ecological and Water Footprints” Journal of Cleaner Production [IF: 3.844] Volume 17, Issue 14, Page 1241-1248 (doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2009.03.011).

  • Guan D*., K. Hubacek, C. Weber, G. Peters and D. Reiner (2008) “The drivers of Chinese CO2 emissions from 1980 to 2030” Global Environmental Changes [IF: 5.089] Volume 18, Issue 4, Page 626-634 (doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2008.08.001)

  • Weber C., G. Peters, D. Guan and K. Hubacek (2008) “The contribution of Chinese exports to climate change” Energy Policy [IF: 2.575], Volume 36, Page 3572-3577 (doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2008.06.009)

  • Fraser E., M. Termansen, N. Sun, D. Guan, P. Dodds, K. Feng and Y. Yu (2008) “Quantifying socioeconomic characteristics of drought-sensitive regions: Evidence from Chinese provincial agricultural data” [IF:1.652], Volume 340, Issue 9-10, Page 3572-3577 (doi:10.1016/j.crte.2008.07.004).

  • Guan D*. and K. Hubacek (2008) “A new integrated hydro-economic accounting and analytical framework for water resource consumption: A case study for North China” Journal of Environmental Management [IF: 2.723], Volume 88, Issue 4, Page 1300-1313 (doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2007.07.010). This paper was awarded the runner up of the Leontief Prize 2007 by International Input-Output Association.

  • Peters G., C. Weber, D. Guan and K. Hubacek (2007) “China’s growing CO2 emissions – A race between lifestyle changes and efficiency gains” Environmental Science & Technology [IF: 5.330] Volume 41, Issue 17, Page 5939-5944. (doi: 10.1021/es070108f S0013-936X(07)00108-3). This paper is awarded for the “Top Policy Paper 2007” by this journal.

  • Hubacek K., D. Guan and A. Barua (2007) “Changing Lifestyles and Consumption Patterns in Developing Countries: A Scenario Analysis in China and India” Futures [IF:1.012], Volume 39, Issue 9, Page 1084-1096. (doi: 10.1016/j.futures.2007.03.010)

  • Guan D. and K. Hubacek (2007) “Assessment of regional trade and virtual water flows in China” Ecological Economics [IF:2.720], Volume 61, Issue 1, Page 159-170 (doi: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2006.02.022)


Journal papers in Chinese

  • Fang B., D. Guan, H. Liao, Y-M. Wei (2011) “Empirical Study of Drivers for China's Energy Consumption: Evidence from an Input-Output Based Structural Decomposition Analysis” Mathematics in Practice and Theory (数学的实践与认识) Volume 41, Issue 2


Peer-Reviewed Reports

  • Guan, D., D. M. Reiner, Z. Liu (2014) “China’s road to a global scientific powerhouse” R&D Management EPRG working paper series. University of Cambridge.

  • Guan D. and Z. Liu (2013) “Tracing back China’s smog – An analysis of emission factors of PM2.5 in North China” (雾霾真相), Greenpeace, Beijing

  • Vöhringer, F., A. Haurie, D. Guan, M. Labriet, R. Loulou, V. Bosetti, P. R. Shukla, P. Thalmann (2010) “Reinforcing the EU Dialogue with Developing Countries on Climate Change Mitigation” FEEM Working Paper, FEEM Note di Lavoro 2010.043, Apr 2010

  • Wiedmann, T., R. Wood, M. Lenzen, J. Minx, D. Guan, and J. Barrett. (2008) “Development of an Embedded Carbon Emissions Indicator – Producing a Time Series of Input-Output Tables and Embedded Carbon Dioxide Emissions for the UK by Using a MRIO Data Optimisation System”. Report to the UK Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs by Stockholm Environment Institute at the University of York and Centre for Integrated Sustainability Analysis at the University of Sydney, June 2008. DEFRA, London, UK. This report is reported by Guardians, BBC News and in many press releases.

  • Guan, D. and K. Hubacek (2006). “Assessment of Regional Trade and Virtual Water Flows in China”. IR-06-003. Publication series of the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.


Correspondence letters and viewpoints

  • Guan D, J. Lin, S. J. Davis, D. Pan, K. He, C. Wang, D. J. Wuebbles, D. G. Streets and Q. Zhang (2014) “Reply to Lopez et al.: Consumption-based accounting helps mitigate global air pollution” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS) [IF: 9.809], Volume 111, Issue 26, E2331 (doi:10.1073/pnas. 1407383111)

  • Tillotson, M. R., J. Liu, D. Guan, P. Wu, X. Zhao, G. Zhang, S. Pfister, M. Pahlow (2014) “Water Footprint Symposium: where next for water footprint and water assessment methodology?” International Journal of Lifecycle Assessment [IF: 3.089], Conference Report, (doi: 10.1007/s11367-014-0770-x)

  • Liu Z., F. Xi and D. Guan (2013) “Climate negotiations: Tie carbon emissions to consumers” Nature, [IF: 42.351], Volume 493, Page 304. (doi:10.1038/493304d)

  • Holden J. and D. Guan* (2012) “Scale up water research” Nature Climate Change [IF:14.472] , Volume 2, Page 132 (doi:10.1038/nclimate1384)

  • Hubacek K. and D. Guan (2011) “The net effects of green lifestyle” Nature Climate Change [IF:15.295], Volume 1 Page 250-251. (doi:10.1038/nclimate1181)

  • Guan D.* and K. Hubacek (2011) “Is the concept of a green economy a useful way of framing policy discussions and policymaking to promote sustainable development? Natural Resources Forum [IF:1.000], Viewpoint. (doi: 10.1111/j.1477-8947.2011.01347.x)

  • Guan D. and K. Hubacek (2010) “China can offer domestic emission cap-and-trade in post 2012” Environmental Science & Technology [IF:5.481], Volume 44, Issue 14, Page 5327 (doi: 10.1021/es101116k)

  • Peters G., D. Guan, K. Hubacek, J. Minx and C. Webber (2010) “Effects of China's Economic Growth” Science [IF:31.477], Volume 328, Page 825-826 (doi: 10.1126/science.328.5980.824-b)

  • Guan D.* and D. M. Reiner (2009) “Emissions affected by trade among developing countries” Nature [IF:15.295], Volume 462, Page 159 (doi:10.1038/462159b).


Book Chapters

  • Teelucksingh, S. S., N. C. Beharry-Borg and D. Guan (2014) “Water Economics” in “Water Resources: An Integrated Approach” Edited by Joseph Holden (Oxon and New York). Routledge

  • Tillotson, M. R., M. Beresford, D. Guan and J. Holden (2014) “The future of water: water footprints and virtual water” in “Water Resources: An Integrated Approach” Edited by Joseph Holden (Oxon and New York), Routledge.

  • Hubacek, K., K. Feng, D. Guan and B. Chen (2010) "Lifestyle, technology and CO2 emissions in China." In: Encyclopaedia of Earth. Eds. Cutler J. Cleveland (Washington, D.C.: Environmental Information Coalition, National Council for Science and the Environment)

  • Hubacek K., D. Guan and A. Barua (2007) “90 years lifestyle changes and CO2 emission in China and India” Scenarios and Indicators for Sustainable Development, edited by ISEE and INSEE, Oxford University Press.

  • Hubacek K., D. Guan and L. Sun (2005) “An analysis of China’s water problems: A long term perspective”. Walter, Leal (ed.). Handbook on Sustainability Research. Peter Lang Scientific Publishers: Frankfurt, New York, Bern, Vienna

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